Posts Tagged ‘Theory’

Demographics, Economics, Politics, and You

Monday, June 5th, 2006

Guy Kawasaki’s Ten Questions with Dr. Joseph Chamie, Demographer and it’s follow up made for an engaging albeit brief read. I was especially drawn to it because of my minor in Sociology with a concentration in Economics and Dr. Chamie offers some well thought out “napkin notes” about the trends we will be facing in terms of globalization and how migration, urbanization, and in a broader sense domestic politics will impact the individual and collective fortunes of nation states.

For me it was a refreshing read as I usually dwell on doom and gloom being very much a pessimist and a believer that if you give a person enough rope they will inevitably try to string someone up followed by themselves. File me under the school of thought that humankind is a greedy brutish lot. Dr. Chamie paints a picture of movement on a regional as well as global scale that will carry with it the usual disruptions but at least from his depiction I, as an individual, might just be able to weather it.

While he is discussing trends on a massive scale it did get me thinking about when I wind down my fiction reading project that the next task I wanted to undertake was an understanding with regards to the interplay between politics, geography, demographics, and migration. Last year I began researching the role of corporations play in sustaining or undermining local economic enclaves. The Blue Back Square project in West Hartford and Evergreen Terrace in South Windsor prompted me to consider how many of these development projects are often a Faustian deal where the town is lead to believe that a windfall in tax revenue will occur and that it will possess a near infinite viability. When in fact these developments lead to capital flight as the majority of each dollar spent leaves the town and or region.

Could this be the same bargain that some members of the European Union will experience? Dr. Chamie writes, “European Union, for example, national boundaries have been opened for free movement and trade with a common market for its members.” More importantly, as he discusses migratory patterns to come, what is the impact of the communities that have forsaken locally based economic endeavors for multinational ones? Corporations follow the smell of money and if your community is experiencing zero or negative growth it will be the first on the list for vacating. Just look to the exodus in the Great Plains states.

Reading Kawasaki’s interview invigorated me to pull out my reading list and take a look as to what I have down so far. Starting off are Thomas Sowell’s Migrations and Culture and Hannah Arendt’s The Human Condition both of which I read in undergrad but did not get the time to truly digest. Arendt’s work was read alongside works of Saul Alinsky which I found to be a nice pairing of thought and action. Following up are three books that I have read positive press on but have not gotten my hands on: William Bonner and Addison Wiggin’s Empire of Debt, L. Hunter Lovins, Amory Lovins, and Paul Hawken’s Natural Capitalism, Andres Duany, Elizabeth Plater-Zyberk, and Jeff Speck’s Suburban Nation. Providing the structure for this slightly disparate list would be Jane Jacob’s The Economy of Cities and Cities and the Wealth of Nations. To fill in the cracks, I’ve spent the better part of the year gathering white papers and journal articles on planning and zoning, local political communication and activism, and analysis of regional economic trends. Heavy reading list but I’m sure I can spin it into something productive here or elsewhere.

If only I were born a trust fund baby, I would spend my life in academia as I am full of questions that want for answers.


Framing conflict makes it easier to hang on the wall.

Wednesday, May 3rd, 2006

It seems that my short lived stint as a GM is weighing on my mind and has me looking closer and closer at the dynamics that are in play with the group. One of the things that I did notice the last session was that while everyone appears to get along there is an undercurrent of tension and it would seem that is acted out through the game itself; if this was 3-on-3 elbows would be up and noses bloodied. Anyway, the experience has me pulling out my old textbooks and getting refreshed on the notion of decision-making and conflict resolution.

One of the building blocks of conflict resolution is the ability of individuals to articulate their position but the challenge in that is the group as a whole might not be communication within the semantic context. Word choices and meanings will differ among peoples and groups so there is a distinct need for the group to define a common language with which to hold meta-level conversations without adding to the existing conflict. This is not to say that group cohesion is achieved through dry discourses on individual purpose and motivation followed by a tedious negotiations, instead much of the time it occurs as subtext to the overall socializing patterns of the group.

Bormann’s Symbolic Convergence Theory is one interpretation of this process that grabbed my attention as an undergrad and has held it since. Essentially, Bormann postulates that cohesion emerges through the process of shared narratives which he terms fantasies. These fantasies are actually just stories and anecdotes that reveal and transmit emotion and while they are not directly related to the overarching goal of the group they serve to create a foundation of understanding. The sharing of these fantasies serve to weave a larger tapestry of connectivity between the individuals and the group which provides the cohesiveness allowing the group to address its long term goals (Bulher).

So what to do when fantasy chaining is not enough to provide cohesion? Well, the process ought to result in a common language from which to begin the process of addressing conflict however there are many different sources of conflict and several might be in play ranging from communication difficulties, issues of force, and agreement on fact-finding. Colorado University as a great website that outlines many of these issues as well as some possible tools to resolve them at their Online Training Program on Intractable Conflict (OTPIC) website.

Getting back to the gaming group it would seem that the conflict is a tangle of three issues: communication, scope, and facts. Certainly there is a great deal of variance in the opinions as to what the source of the tension is, ranging from finger pointing to a general malaise, and that ties into the notion of what individuals or situations may or may not be at the nexus. Add to that a general reluctance to communicate and you have a smoldering fire. Greatly complicating matters is the introduction of two new players as the group needs to be flexible enough to absorb them and generate the necessary cohesiveness to keep the group together. Groups more than two get complicated quickly.

Let’s see if my math is any good. Dredging up from my memory I seem to remember that a group of two consists of six distinct relationships based how each individual sees themselves, the other, and their respective positions in the dyad.

  1. A sees B
  2. B sees A
  3. A sees A
  4. B sees B
  5. A sees B sees A
  6. B sees A sees B

This jumps up dramatically when additional individuals are added to the mix. The number climbs to twenty-four distinct relationships for three individuals revolving around the same pattern but expanding to encompass the inclusion of how the group sees individuals and the individual sees that group. Basically, it is three dyads that are bridged to include perceptions of the other dyads. The group I game with consists of seven individuals and it would take me all night and a day to make a map relationship network but you can get a feeling for how complicated groups really are by just looking at a dyad.

None of this is to say that the gaming group has arrived at an impasse and that civility has taken a back seat to unabashed aggression. For the most part the group is one of the more healthy ones I have been a member of. This is more of an academic exercise that is fueled by my experiences and some of the recent reading I have been doing on the subject of gaming theory (big ups to Bankuei for boiling down the work over at The Forge). One of the interesting things about the articles on gaming theory is how work in social psychology, anthropology, and communications has been co-opted and framed in terms of leisure activities. Considering that my prior studies have centered around crisis management and corporate development it is breath of fresh air.